Elections in Madhya Pradesh.
Voting is being held on 230 seats of Madhya Pradesh on Friday. In Madhya Pradesh, Congress under the leadership of Kamal Nath is strongly challenging Shivraj Singh Chouhan’s BJP government. BJP has also used all its strength to save its position. BJP leaders including Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Union Home Minister Amit Shah, JP Nadda, UP CM Yogi have held more than 600 rallies, while Congress has also fielded Rahul Gandhi to Priyanka Gandhi. Now the fate of the candidates will be decided in the voting today. Today’s voting will decide whether BJP will return to Madhya Pradesh or Congress will rule.
The magic figure of majority in the 230-seat Madhya Pradesh Assembly is 116. Some opinion polls say that like last time in Madhya Pradesh, this time too no party will be able to touch it. In such a situation, the role of MLAs from small independent parties can be ‘decisive’. Public opinion polls or surveys often do not match reality, but the example of the fair is no less.
In the 2018 assembly elections in Madhya Pradesh, Congress won 114 seats, BJP 109, BSP 2 and Independents and others won 5 seats. Ultimately Congress formed the government with the support of BSP and independents. Kamal Nath became the Chief Minister. But in March 2020, BJP formed the government due to the rebellion of 22 Congress MLAs under the leadership of former Union Minister Jyotiraditya Scindia. Shivraj Singh Chauhan became the CM of the state for the fourth time.
2533 candidates are in the fray for 230 seats in the state.
Elections are looming again. There are 2533 candidates in the fray for 230 seats in the state, whose fate will be decided by today’s voting. BJP faces the challenge of saving power and Congress wants to return to power, while parties like BSP and SP are trying to become the third force. Disputes over seats have also come to the fore between the Indian alliance’s constituent parties, Congress and Samajwadi Party, and each party is desperate to establish its hold.
A total of 230 seats of Madhya Pradesh Assembly are distributed in Malwa-Nimar, Bundelkhand-Vindhya, Chambal-Gwalior, Mahakaushal and Central region. BJP is dominant in some areas and Congress is dominant in others, while in some places there is a close contest between the two parties. In some triangular and in other quadrangular contests, others are spoiling the game. BJP hopes that PM Modi’s face and CM Shivraj’s Ladli Brahmin Yojana will bring it back to power. On the other hand, Congress has confidence in the anti-incumbency trend. The rebels have also laid their trap. Let us see here who has the upper hand in which area of Madhya Pradesh divided into six geographical regions?
Central Region of Madhya Pradesh (Bhopal-Narmadapuram Division) Total number of assembly seats: 36
The area comprising the districts around Bhopal is known as the central region. The total number of assembly seats here is 36. This area has been a stronghold of BJP. Rajgarh, Raisen, Vidisha, Bhopal, Sehore, Narmadapuram, Harda and Betul districts fall in this region. This area is considered to be the area of CM Shivraj Singh Chauhan. A direct contest is being considered between Congress and BJP in this area. In the last assembly elections, Congress had won 13 seats and BJP had won 23 seats.
Mahakaushal region of Madhya Pradesh, total number of assembly seats – 38
Seoni, Narsinghpur, Mandla, Jabalpur, Chhindwara, Katni, Dindori and Balaghat come in Mahakaushal area. In Jabalpur, there is a tough contest between BJP and Congress on 10 seats, while a triangular situation is being said on 6 seats. Congress has been dominant here for the last two times. In the 2018 elections, Congress won 24 seats and BJP won 13 seats. This time a close contest is being considered between Congress and BJP. Being a tribal dominated area, this time there is a possibility of a triangular contest with the alliance of BSP and Gondwana Party. The demands of the tribal society are the main issue here. Kamal Nath’s exam is in Mahakaushal area, because his home area Chhidwara falls in this area. Congress has completely focused on this area. Kamal Nath is also the chief ministerial face of Congress.
Malwa Nimar region of Madhya Pradesh Total assembly seats – 66 seats
In this area, BJP and Congress may face tough competition from BSP and SP on some seats. This could lead to a triangular contest in this area. Caste equations may have played a role here. 66 seats in this area can spoil the mathematics and equation of the entire election. It is believed that whichever party is successful in winning this area. It is captured in continuity. Kailash Vijayvargiya is contesting from BJP from this area. BJP is facing tough challenge on many seats in this tribal and OBC dominated area. Rebels have increased the tension on some seats.
Gwalior Chambal Assembly Constituency of Madhya Pradesh Total Number of Assembly Seats: 34
There is a direct contest between Congress and BJP on a total of 25 seats in Gwalior Chambal Assembly constituency, while there is a possibility of a triangular contest on 9 seats. In this area, the credibility of BJP minister Jyotiraditya Scindia and Union Minister Narendra Singh Tomar and Congress leaders like Digvijay Singh and Govind Singh are at stake. The 16 MLAs who changed sides after Jyotiraditya Scindia’s rebellion against Congress after the last assembly elections. He belonged to this area and due to this the Kamal Nath government of Congress had fallen.
Bundelkhand-Vindhya region of Madhya Pradesh, total number of assembly seats-56
In this area bordering Uttar Pradesh, out of 56 seats, a triangular contest is being considered for about a dozen seats. There are 30 seats in Bundelkhand and 26 seats in Vindhya region. In this way, there are a total of 56 seats in both the areas. This area is considered to be Brahmin influenced. Here Bundelkhand Dalits and OBC castes have the power to make or break the game. This time a direct contest is being considered between Congress and BJP. This is said to be the area of CM Chief Minister Shivraj Singh Chauhan. Budhni Assembly seat comes from this area. In the last elections 2028, BJP had got maximum seats from here while Congress was wiped out from Vindhya.
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