Lucknow: An IIT Kanpur professor suggested on Tuesday that the third wave of COVID-19 is likely to peak in Haryana, Gujarat and Maharashtra this week. He also claimed that the third wave that started with the Omicron variant has reached its peak in Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata.
Last year, Dr Manindra Agarwal, who developed the formula model, predicted that the third wave of coronavirus would peak by the end of January. He stressed that the deadly infection in India is spreading faster than previously estimated.
In a series of tweets, the IIT professor said, “There appear to be two plausible reasons for this: 1) There are two groups in the population, one with low immunity against Omicron and the other with more. The mutant spread to the first group and accelerated is causing an increase. Now the first group is gone and hence the spread is slow.”
He continued, “Second, there was a lot of concern when Omicron began to spread, but in the past week almost everywhere people have concluded that it only causes a mild infection and has been treated with standard treatments rather than testing.” decided to take over.”
He said, “In Maharashtra, it is predicted to peak on 19th. It may peak soon, as the trajectory is almost flat at present. Gujarat is predicted to peak on 19th Haryana is predicted to peak on the 20th.”
He further said that the current wave will peak next week in southern states like Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu.
He tweeted, “In Karnataka, the COVID-19 wave is predicted to peak on 23rd. A new phase has just begun and Tamil Nadu is predicted to peak on 25th Jan. The trajectory seems to be deviating. Andhra Pradesh is expected to reach its peak on 30th. There has been no deviation from the projected trajectory so far due to outbreak probably at very early stage.
He said, “However, Haryana is predicted to peak on 20th. Now some states like Assam are predicted to peak on 26th January. There is no phase change yet, but blue curve suggesting there will be one soon.”
first published:Jan. 18, 2022, 9:15 a.m.
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