Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
as Prime Minister of India Narendra Modi has completed nine years. In these nine years the country has PM As Modi saw many ups and downs. He managed to leave a different mark in the world. progress as a party Bharatiya Janata Party Seen during the Prime Ministership of Narendra Modi, it was tremendous, but from the point of view of statistics, BJP is now seen going towards the downfall. It can also be said that repeating the result of 2019 in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections will be no less than a big and tough challenge for the BJP leadership.
It can be said that after Narendra Modi took over the power, BJP’s development happened very fast. Then there was a decline in the next five years. However, the pace of growth was fast and the pace of decline is slow. But there has been a decline. Any person or organization can deny it, but the statistics are testifying that obstacles have come in the way of BJP’s progress.
Will the doors to the south not open?
There are also indications that it will remain difficult until the doors of the southern states are opened for the BJP. However, the arrangement of sitting in the new Parliament is telling that the elections of the year 2029 will be held according to the new delimitation and then the parliamentary seats in the areas of current influence of the Bharatiya Janata Party will have increased. As such, despite all the adverse circumstances, there is no major crisis in front of the BJP in the year 2024 elections. Yes, the challenge is to repeat 2019 in the current situation.
When Narendra Modi was sworn in as PM for the first time on May 26, 2014, the Bharatiya Janata Party was ruling in Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Goa. She was a partner in the power of Punjab and Andhra Pradesh. Needless to say that in the 2014 general elections, the BJP, which contested on the face of Narendra Modi, won the maximum number of 282 seats.
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BJP got continuous advantage
Time progressed. Gradually his influence as PM increased. BJP also got the benefit of this continuously. Just a year before the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the situation became such that the Bharatiya Janata Party had absolute majority, while the BJP was in power in 21 states. In four years, the BJP expanded in the form of a government in three straight states. At that time, there was a situation of finding the government of other parties in the map of the country. In the Lok Sabha elections held in the year 2019, the Bharatiya Janata Party again contested on the face of Modi and the work of the central government, and when the result came, the BJP had got the highest 303 seats so far. Modi ji took oath again for the second term as PM.
Now after exactly one year there are general elections again but the picture of BJP in the states has reversed. BJP is not in government in many places, where it was in 2018. However, supporters say that there is victory and defeat in elections. If someone wins, someone has to lose. But, the figures seem to be telling a new story. After the year 2018, the loss of Bharatiya Janata Party is visible in the states. Today there are only 14 states where the BJP has absolute majority or is a partner in the government. That is, in the initial four years of the journey of the first term, where the maths of the states had reached 21 from seven states, in the four years of the second term or even say that in the last five years, one-third of the states have slipped from the hands of the BJP.
Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh challenge
South Indian states of Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana still remain a challenge, while the BJP government in Karnataka has recently gone. There are barely 10 per cent MLAs left in terms of numbers in these states. A total of 130 MPs are elected from South India. In this, 29 are from BJP and the rest have been elected from other parties. These 29 are also from only two states, 25 from Karnataka and four from Telangana. There is no BJP MP from Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. In such a situation, South India is the biggest concern of the BJP today. There is no BJP government in West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, Rajasthan, Punjab, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka.
In the North-East, there is a BJP government in Assam, Manipur, Tripura and Arunachal Pradesh. There is a BJP government in MP, Gujarat. The BJP has supported the Shinde faction in Maharashtra. There is also a BJP government in Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Haryana.
2024 election a big challenge
Now the tough challenge before the BJP in the 2024 elections is that out of the 303 Lok Sabha seats with which it reached its highest performance in the last election, it had won all the seats in Delhi, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Tripura, Uttarakhand, Haryana. MP got 28 seats, Karnataka 25, UP 64, Chhattisgarh nine, Bihar-Maharashtra alliance got 80 seats.
The concern of the party is that expansion has not taken place in the new areas and in the old ones where the maximum numbers have been found, they will win again, the party is also not sure about this. In such a situation, to repeat 2019, it is necessary that BJP gets a place in the new area. The seats that were won in Bihar were won after fighting together with JD-U.
Will the alliance blossom in Maharashtra?
In Maharashtra too, there is no old alliance and no one knows whether the new alliance that has been formed will blossom. In such a situation, the challenge in front of PM Narendra Modi is strong. Although, they are fighters. Will try till the last moment, but it is a matter of concern. Now it has to be seen which way the assembly election results of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh turn this year. If the BJP comes again in MP, forms its government in Rajasthan-Chhattisgarh, then it will get renewed energy, but the question will still remain because BJP has majority of seats in the Lok Sabha in all these poll-bound states.
