New Delhi: For the last two days, there is a slight decrease in the new cases of corona in the country. But in the meantime, experts are claiming that the peak of corona can come in the country on 23 January. During this period, more than 7 lakh new cases are expected to come. According to the ‘Sutra’ model of IIT Kanpur, in the last week of January, the corona infection will be at its peak in the country. According to Professor Manindra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur, by the end of February, the current wave of COVID 19 in India will almost end.
Professor Manindra Agarwal has assessed through the formula model that cities like Delhi, Mumbai and Kolkata have left the peak of the third wave of COVID behind. India’s peak may come on January 23. During this, new cases coming daily will not be more than 4 lakhs. Earlier, 7 lakh new cases were being feared at the peak of the COVID wave. At the same time, in many states, there will not be much cases at the peak. The peak in Uttar Pradesh is likely to come on January 19.
Professor Maninder Aggarwal says that the estimates made in the formula model regarding the metro city of the country were not correct. Behind this, he argued that due to the new guidelines regarding the corona test, the tests are decreasing and that is why the cases are also coming less. For example, the peak of corona infection in Delhi was reported from January 15 to 16. According to the mathematical model, about 45 thousand patients were to come daily at this time. But during this time the number of infected patients remained close to 28 thousand.
Meanwhile, the daily cases of corona have decreased today and 2,38,018 new cases of corona virus have been registered in the past. At the same time, the cases of Omicron variants have also reached close to 9 thousand. However, it is a matter of relief that the number of patients admitted to ICU is very less. According to the data, the daily rate of infection was recorded at 19.65 percent and the weekly rate at 14.41 percent. So far, a total of 3,53,94,882 people have become infection free in the country and the death rate from COVID-19 is 1.30 percent.
first published:Jan. 18, 2022, 8:50 a.m.
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